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Additionally, the forum gets a "bounty" for various offers at Amazon.com. For instance, if you sign up for a 30 day free trial of Amazon Prime, the forum will earn $3. Same if you buy a Prime membership for someone else as a gift! Trying out or purchasing an Audible membership will earn the forum a few bucks. And creating an Amazon Business account will send a $15 commission our way.
If you have an Amazon Echo, you need a free trial of Amazon Music!! We will earn $3 and it's free to you!
Your personal information is completely private, I only get a list of items that were ordered/shipped via the link, no names or locations or anything. This does not cost you anything extra and it helps offset the operating costs of this forum, which include our hosting fees and the yearly registration and licensing fees.
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Minnesota @ Michigan, Saturday 11/4, 7:30p, FOX, Stream FoxGo
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I just finally got around to watching this game. Hooray for Tuesday 3 AM re-airs of Fox games on FS1!
The 2017 Michigan Wolverines will go down as the most fucked-over-by-the-refs team in the history of college football. The "illegal block" on Kugler was another once-in-a-lifetime prizewinner.
Harbaugh needs to start taking some basketball technicals in these games. That's what Tom Allen did against us this year (he didn't even get flagged) and it clearly worked. These fuckovers have got to stop. Some people have speculated that Harbaugh toned down his sideline demeanor this year in an attempt to placate the refs. If that was his intention, then it has failed miserably. Every game has Bo-in-the-Rose-Bowl refs now.
Also -- there were only 106 snaps in this game. But the same amount of commercials, apparently. Way to NFL-ize the game, guys. The fans are just getting cheated.Last edited by Hannibal; November 7, 2017, 08:24 PM.
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Originally posted by Hannibal View Post......The 2017 Michigan Wolverines will go down as the most fucked-over-by-the-refs team in the history of college football.
The results of this analysis don't support the contention that M is getting screwed by the refs in comparison to other teams M has played.
The eyeball test supports the view that Big Ten refereeing is inconsistent at best, incompetent at worst. Frankly, from what I've seen, I'm not convinced individuals who should know don't know the rules. Evidence: they call penalties then have a mid-field conference and talk about if for 5 minutes and or, take an official's time out to review video on obvious calls already made.
WTF. I don't see this in any other conferences. The refs seem to me to be assertive at the outset. Replay is left to the guys in the booth doing that who wil ring down to the White Hat should they think a mistake was made. The game moves on. I've got a bias because I really do think Big Ten refs are generally poor compared to their peers in other conferences.
As there have been several posts in the last couple weeks complaining about refs and asserting that there is a systematic bias against Michigan, I thought I would take a closer look at penalty stats. Specifically, I wanted to go through each opponent and compare their penalty stats against Michigan to their average penalty stats. The stats come from Team Rankings. They do have the limitation that results against Michigan comprise 1/9th of the data, especially consider Michigan is ranked very low in both penalties against and penalties drawn. This breakdown also doesn't say anything about the legitimacy of penalties called for and against Michigan, or potential missed calls for and against Michiga. It is simply a closer look at opponents' penalty stats against Michigan compared to their average. --------------------------- Opponent Penalties Per Game Stats: Opponent Rank Penalties/Game Opponent Penalties vs. Michigan Difference Florida 126 8.4 5 -3.4 Cincinnati 111 7.6 4 -3.6 Air Force 5 3.8 3 -0.8 Purdue 85 6.7 10 3.3 Michigan State 86 6.8 11 4.2 Indiana 77 6.4 5 -1.4 Penn State 19 4.6 1 -3.6 Rutgers 64 6.0 3 -3 Minnesota 3 3.7 3 -0.7 Michigan rank: 102 Opponent average rank: 64 Average difference: -1.0 Penalties/Game Opponent Penalty Yards Per Game Stats: Opponent Rank Penalty Yards/Game Opponent Penalty Yards vs. Michigan Difference Florida 88 60 45 -15 Cincinnati 114 70.6 30 -40.6 Air Force 11 35.5 29 -6.5 Purdue 80 56.8 82 25.2 Michigan State 90 60.4 81 20.6 Indiana 95 62.4 55 -7.4 Penn State 30 44.6 10 -34.6 Rutgers 56 50.9 20 -30.9 Minnesota 3 30.8 10 -20.8 Michigan rank: 113 Opponent average rank: 63 Average difference: -12.2 Penalty Yards/Game Opponent Penalties Drawn Per Game Stats: Opponent Rank Penalties Drawn/Game Michigan Penalties Difference Florida 56 6.4 7 0.6 Cincinnati 16 7.6 7 -0.6 Air Force 130 3.6 7 3.4 Purdue 19 7.4 7 -0.4 Michigan State 97 5.1 7 1.9 Indiana 13 7.8 16 8.2 Penn State 64 6.1 6 -0.1 Rutgers 17 7.6 3 -4.6 Minnesota 67 6.0 9 3 Michigan rank: #113 Opponent average rank: 53 Average difference: 1.27 Penalties/Game Michigan Penalty Yards Per Game Stats: Opponent Rank Penalty Yards Drawn/Game Michigan Penalty Yards Difference Florida 73 50.6 55 4.4 Cincinnati 6 75.5 68 -7.5 Air Force 128 33.4 72 38.6 Purdue 39 61.2 57 -4.2 Michigan State 87 47.8 53 5.2 Indiana 14 70.2 141 70.8 Penn State 58 56.4 59 2.6 Rutgers 28 64.2 25 -39.2 Minnesota 52 58.0 85 27 Michigan rank: #111 Opponent average rank: 54 Average difference: 10.86 Penalty Yards/Game Some Additional Michigan Penalty Stats: Penalties/Play: #123 Opponents Penalties/Play: #88 --------------------------- Penalty Yards/Penalty: #71 Opponent Penalty Yards/Penalty: #107 --------------------------- Penalty First Downs/Game: #119 Opponent Penalty First Downs/Game: #100 tl;dr: On average, opponents are called for 1 fewer penalties and 12.2 fewer penalty yards against Michigan than their average opponents. On average, opponents draw 1.27 more penalties and 10.86 more penalty yards against Michigan than their average opponents. Michigan ranks at the bottom at both drawing and committing penalties. Overall, Michigan's opponents are squarely average at committing penalties, so that does not explain why Michigan draws so few penalties. Overall, Michigan's opponents are slightly above average at drawing penalties, but this may be attributed to Michigan, one of the most penalized teams in the country, contributing 1/9th of the data. Michigan's bottom ranking in penalties committed may simply be due to youth and poor execution. However, Michigan's bottom ranking in penalties drawn is harder to justify. One could argue that Michigan's anemic passing game decreases opportunities to draw penalties against defenses. But one would expect Michigan's strong defense to draw its fair shair of penalties. Maybe next time, I will look for a correlation between penalties drawn and Defensive S&P to see if that expectation is valid.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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Reffing is bad. Bad, BAD, BAD. Sometimes it looks like it's on purpose. The refs in MSU/PSU consistently threw flags after the outcome of the play was determined, and it sure did look like homecooking, but with several of them replays showed the calls to be decent. Reffing is the ultimate example of that which should never be attributed to malice what you can to stupidity. At least in football and basketball, the sports I pay attention to, everyone is on the gravy train but the refs. Pay them, make them full-time, make the process and the gradings outcomes transparent. Heck, farm it out to some independent body or something. But protect the integrity of the sports, PLEASE.
(Present company excluded of course. I'm sure Wiz is an excellent ref. He sucks at everything else, so there's got to be one thing he CAN do...)
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Tony Gerdeman of The Ozone who writes Michigan Monday picks up on three issues that M has to deal with going forward. As usual, he's pretty much spot on:
(1) Can Brandon Peters deliver when the need for him to do so is present? In the last two games he has played in (Rutgers and Minnesota) he hasn't been asked to deliver because the need wasn't there. So, it's too hard to judge his impact and effectiveness as M's QB yet.
(2) Pass protection remains suspect.
(3) M's Ss can be exploited.
Michigan (7-2, 4-2) hosted Minnesota (4-5, 1-5) this past Saturday night and left the Gophers' greasy, grimy guts strewn all over the Michigan Stadium field. The Wolverines walked away with a dominating 33-10 win to keep their Big Ten title hopes alive. Any time Michigan faces a team that cannot throw the ball, the ending is never in doubt.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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Originally posted by Jeff Buchanan View PostThere's a piece at mgoboards that tries to analyze M's penalties and conclude if M is getting screwed.
The results of this analysis don't support the contention that M is getting screwed by the refs in comparison to other teams M has played.
As I said in my previous post, we are getting Rose Bowl referees in every game now, and it has got to stop. Either Harbaugh needs to start taking basketball technicals or Warde Manuel needs to start raising hell.Last edited by Hannibal; November 8, 2017, 09:12 AM.
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You really have to dig in to the piece I linked to above. It is somewhat hard to understand.
Michigan ranks near the top of the list of CFB teams for committing penalties overall - the consensus for the cause is youth and inexperience.
Michigan ranks at the bottom of the list of CFB teams in drawing penalties from its opponents. There is no consensus for the cause. Possibly the lack of a passing game where the number of penalties on pass plays for all CFB teams is highest.
When you look across the smaller sample size of Michigan v. its 2017 opponents, the divergence seen above (all CFB teams) is much less. IOW, M isn't getting penalized more than it's 2017 opponents are nor is it drawing less penalties. Over the season, it's pretty even.
The other problem, despite small sample size, with the analysis is that it does not look at the quality or impact of the penalty. The author is thinking of ways to analyze this. I'm with Hannibal that the eyeball test says M gets more untimely, poor quality and impactful penalties than it's opponents this season ...... but that is from a very biased view point.
I remain suspicious of the quality of BT refereeing. As fans, we have no idea how a particular crew grades out after a game or how the grading is even done. IMO, it should be public information and the conference should be held accountable for keeping referees on the job who cross some established threshold for performance.
I know it's a hard job. I know there are bad angles from which to judge an infraction or consider where the ball should be placed. I know it takes split second judgement when applying a set of complex rules but neither of those things are reasons for poor quality officiating. That there is replay (even though I don't like how it is implemented and run), it seems to me, that the combination of insuring well trained and performing officials should produce near zero error rates in a game. If we had some way of knowing how BT officials are performing with that goal in mind, I suspect we'd find they are far from it.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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Originally posted by froot loops View PostYeah I'm not sure why the refs have it out for you guys, I have only been watching for 35 years but it has been pretty consistent. They have always been out to get Penn State as well.
My position is that ALL teams in the BT are experiencing less than routinely well officiated games. I have nothing to back that assertion up other than my own eyeball that has observed about as many games outside the BT as inside it.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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Originally posted by froot loops View PostThe refs get one crack at it at full speed and not always with best angle.
The more outrageous part of reffing is when the booth overturns calls badly or on less than indisputable evidence.
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