Tweet
I'll go ahead and try to predict the top 6 for the CFP tonight.
1. Alabama -- easy one to start. They only have 1 quality win, but I still think they'll get the defending champs treatment...plus, they've sort of assrailed everyone.
2. Clemson. They have 3 quality wins. They beat Louisville at home, and have ROAD wins against Auburn and FSU, both of whom will be in the top 25 -- with Auburn probably closer to 10.
3. Michigan. They have 3 quality wins, but all were at home. And I don't know how closely the CFP looks at it, but against CU the QB injury was significant, and PSU played w/ 2 walk-on LBs -- not that the outcome would have changed in either, but the margin might have. They don't really have a chance to add to the resume until they play OSU. So, I think they're generally unimpressive schedule lands them at #3 even if the "look test" may have them ahead of Clemson.
4. Washington. They finally have a quality win and it's on the road. We'll see if Utah holds up, though. Right now their schedule is way worse than M's and even Louisville's with almost no prospects for real improvement -- that is to say, Utah is as likely to drop off as Wazzu is to rise.
5. Ohio State. I'm going with SoS as opposed to the "look test." OSU has ROAD wins against a top 10 Badgers squad and top 15 Sooner squad. Their narrow loss was to a top 25 school on the road. They still have Nebraska and M at home. UNL will probably finish in the top 20 and M will be #2 or #3 in the CFP when they play OSU. It's a shame OSU lost to PSU because I do think a 1-loss OSU team would have beat out a 1-loss Louisville team if it came down to that.
6. Louisville. 1 QW. Their beatdown of FSU was impressive, and their only loss was on the road to Clemson. But I don't think that's enough to overcome OSU's wins. Plus, 2 of the last 3 weeks they failed the "look test." They have almost no ability to grow their SoS. It's basically a home win over FSU at the beginning of the season. That's it.
1. Alabama -- easy one to start. They only have 1 quality win, but I still think they'll get the defending champs treatment...plus, they've sort of assrailed everyone.
2. Clemson. They have 3 quality wins. They beat Louisville at home, and have ROAD wins against Auburn and FSU, both of whom will be in the top 25 -- with Auburn probably closer to 10.
3. Michigan. They have 3 quality wins, but all were at home. And I don't know how closely the CFP looks at it, but against CU the QB injury was significant, and PSU played w/ 2 walk-on LBs -- not that the outcome would have changed in either, but the margin might have. They don't really have a chance to add to the resume until they play OSU. So, I think they're generally unimpressive schedule lands them at #3 even if the "look test" may have them ahead of Clemson.
4. Washington. They finally have a quality win and it's on the road. We'll see if Utah holds up, though. Right now their schedule is way worse than M's and even Louisville's with almost no prospects for real improvement -- that is to say, Utah is as likely to drop off as Wazzu is to rise.
5. Ohio State. I'm going with SoS as opposed to the "look test." OSU has ROAD wins against a top 10 Badgers squad and top 15 Sooner squad. Their narrow loss was to a top 25 school on the road. They still have Nebraska and M at home. UNL will probably finish in the top 20 and M will be #2 or #3 in the CFP when they play OSU. It's a shame OSU lost to PSU because I do think a 1-loss OSU team would have beat out a 1-loss Louisville team if it came down to that.
6. Louisville. 1 QW. Their beatdown of FSU was impressive, and their only loss was on the road to Clemson. But I don't think that's enough to overcome OSU's wins. Plus, 2 of the last 3 weeks they failed the "look test." They have almost no ability to grow their SoS. It's basically a home win over FSU at the beginning of the season. That's it.
Comment