If voters have really watched the SEC this year, they will have seen a league that, IMO, isn't as good as it has been in recent years, and doesn't deserve to send a one-loss team to the title game ahead of two major unbeaten teams. I wouldn't be sure there will be two major unbeatens just yet-- Michigan State's clearly a better team than Michigan, and it'll be awfully tough for Ohio State, even with control of their BCS destiny now in their hands, to come up with another A+ emotional effort after the war today. They might need that kind of effort next week, because I'm pretty sure Michigan State's going to bring their best. MSU's been knocking on the BCS' door a couple of times recently, and if OSU isn't sharp next week, the Spartans might break the door down.
If Ohio State and Florida State win out, though, I don't see much chance Auburn passes either of them-- it's not entirely impossible, but it looks very unlikely to me. If Jameis Winston is somehow suspended before the BCS game is set, Auburn could pass Florida State-- the Seminoles' wins over Clemson and Miami aren't nearly as impressive now as they were at the time, and Winston's been such a difference maker that I could see voters penalizing FSU(and by extension, the relatively weak ACC). If Auburn blows out 11-1 Missouri while Ohio State struggles to beat Michigan State, Auburn might get such a bump in the computers that they'd pass both teams in those rankings, but I still think the poll voters will defer to both unbeatens.
Bottom line: I think it's considerably more likely Michigan State beats Ohio State than a one-loss Auburn team knocks an undefeated OSU out of the BCS title game.
If Ohio State and Florida State win out, though, I don't see much chance Auburn passes either of them-- it's not entirely impossible, but it looks very unlikely to me. If Jameis Winston is somehow suspended before the BCS game is set, Auburn could pass Florida State-- the Seminoles' wins over Clemson and Miami aren't nearly as impressive now as they were at the time, and Winston's been such a difference maker that I could see voters penalizing FSU(and by extension, the relatively weak ACC). If Auburn blows out 11-1 Missouri while Ohio State struggles to beat Michigan State, Auburn might get such a bump in the computers that they'd pass both teams in those rankings, but I still think the poll voters will defer to both unbeatens.
Bottom line: I think it's considerably more likely Michigan State beats Ohio State than a one-loss Auburn team knocks an undefeated OSU out of the BCS title game.
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