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Miscellaneous And Off Topic Subjects

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  • Oh and as far as video evidence goes I think that stuff typically wouldn't be just given to the public before someone is tried or even arraigned (he's being arraigned today I believe). Talent could speak to that better than I but a defense attorney would probably complain about tainting the jury pool if the bodycam footage was all widely shown on the local news before the trial even started.

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    • I believe the video was turned into Hillary's I.T. staff. I'm sure we'll see it soon.
      Shut the fuck up Donny!

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      • RCP is now predicting 4 Senate pick-ups for the Rs. 54-46 gets you out of Romney, Murkowski, Collins range.

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        • Originally posted by Dr. Strangelove View Post
          Oh and as far as video evidence goes I think that stuff typically wouldn't be just given to the public before someone is tried or even arraigned (he's being arraigned today I believe). Talent could speak to that better than I but a defense attorney would probably complain about tainting the jury pool if the bodycam footage was all widely shown on the local news before the trial even started.
          I can speak better to everything than you. Except, perhaps, the rigors of Concierging 201 at the Cayuga School of Hospitality.
          Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]?
          Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.

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          • Originally posted by Mike View Post
            RCP is now predicting 4 Senate pick-ups for the Rs. 54-46 gets you out of Romney, Murkowski, Collins range.
            They're asserting NH is now Republican. .

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            • Originally posted by iam416 View Post

              I can speak better to everything than you. Except, perhaps, the rigors of Concierging 201 at the Cayuga School of Hospitality.
              What you're really saying is that I'm a lot better to be around at a party as you have all the charm of a sullen skunk.

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              • Originally posted by Dr. Strangelove View Post

                They're asserting NH is now Republican. .
                I'll still be very surprised if certain seats flip. They have Dixon beating Whitmer and I just don't see it happening. Still not completely sold on Walker winning a run-off. Can you imagine the level of shitshow if the Georgia run-off decides control of the Senate AGAIN?

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                • Originally posted by Dr. Strangelove View Post

                  They're asserting NH is now Republican. .
                  They are putting an awful lot of faith in their estimation that the polls are significantly undervaluing Republican preference. Their basis for it is three election cycles. Actually two, since 2018 didn't underestimate Republicans.

                  Originally posted by Mike View Post

                  I'll still be very surprised if certain seats flip. They have Dixon beating Whitmer and I just don't see it happening. Still not completely sold on Walker winning a run-off. Can you imagine the level of shitshow if the Georgia run-off decides control of the Senate AGAIN?
                  Their model is a very simple one where they take the poll skews from the past few biannual elections and apply it to their current RCP average. It's not entirely unsound but I wouldn't make any big bets on it.​

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                  • Originally posted by Mike View Post

                    I'll still be very surprised if certain seats flip. They have Dixon beating Whitmer and I just don't see it happening. Still not completely sold on Walker winning a run-off. Can you imagine the level of shitshow if the Georgia run-off decides control of the Senate AGAIN?
                    I've been wondering who benefits more in a runoff if the R's win a majority even without Georgia. If it literally decides control of the Senate again it'll be a shitshow.

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                    • If I had to guess now, I would say that the Rs hold PA, and flip Nevada and at least one more.

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                      • The LIbertarian has dropped out of the AZ race and endorsed the R. I'm not sure how much it matters. Back in my Libertarian days if my guy dropped out, I still wouldn't vote R.

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                        • Nevada Dems are not building as big an early vote advantage in Clark County like they usually need but turnout overall has been low compared with most other states. Hispanics have a reputation for being late deciders.

                          Random trivia about Adam Laxalt that's not his fault but is a little weird. He's the grandson of former Nevada Senator Paul Laxalt. His mom was a staffer on his grampa's team back in the 70's and had an affair with New Mexico Senator Pete Dominici, who is Adam Laxalt's real father. This was kept a secret until only about a decade ago, a few years before Dominici died. That had to make relations between the two Senators a little tense.

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                          • The Libertarian was polling at 1%.

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                            • Originally posted by Hannibal View Post
                              The LIbertarian has dropped out of the AZ race and endorsed the R. I'm not sure how much it matters. Back in my Libertarian days if my guy dropped out, I still wouldn't vote R.
                              He was only polling at 1 or 2% I think and Arizona's been voting for weeks at this point. I assume it helps Masters but prob not a lot.

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                              • The NYTimes/Sienna polls yesterday were good news for the Ds in the Senate, but today they released their Governor polls and, man, they have to be off by 3-4 points for the Ds. Kemp only +5? Lake tied? Nevada seems roughly right, but, meh.

                                The most recent NH poll has Boulduc up 1.
                                Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]?
                                Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.

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