Senate forecast for the Rs continues to improve. RCP now has Masters flipping Arizona along with pick ups in Nevada and Georgia for a 53-47 majority.
538 has bumped up the R probability of taking the Senate to 43% and Nate Silver calls it a toss-up. House odds are 80%. Not long ago (a few weeks maybe?) those numbers were 28% and 70%. Momentum is clearly with the Rs, I just wish they had tried in Michigan. I'd conservatively estimate the TV ads and mailers I see are 95% pro-D.
538 has bumped up the R probability of taking the Senate to 43% and Nate Silver calls it a toss-up. House odds are 80%. Not long ago (a few weeks maybe?) those numbers were 28% and 70%. Momentum is clearly with the Rs, I just wish they had tried in Michigan. I'd conservatively estimate the TV ads and mailers I see are 95% pro-D.
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