Miscellaneous And Off Topic Subjects

[Dr. Strangelove]

Apparently Georgia's second day of early voting was even bigger than the first. 268,000 have already voted, slightly ahead of the total that voted in the first two days for the 2020 election and blowing away the 2018 midterms number. These are in-person votes, not mail ballots

Data Hub - 2022 General Election | Georgia Secretary of State (ga.gov)

[iam416]

JIM CROW ON STEROIDS

[THE_WIZARD_]

JIM CROW ON STEROIDS!!!!!!!

[Dr. Strangelove]

Wiz + Talent: two posters, one brain

[Dr. Strangelove]

Also fwiw, 538's forecast now gives Republicans a 39% chance of taking the Senate, up from 36% yesterday.

[Jeff Buchanan]

Jeff- Saw a lot of talk about this in the afternoon. Either elaborate psy-op to make Ukraine overconfident or Russia's really preparing their public for the imminent retreat from Kherson city

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63309095

Yes, saw it yesterday. Waited to see if the ISW assessment that gets released later in the evening portrayed it in the same way. It did. The caveat is that the ISW daily assessments are bounded by the fact that the Ukrainians are really tight lipped about their operations in the southern command. The Russian MOD is more forthcoming but unreliable as they are trying to shape a favorable and likely alternate reality in the battle space.

One thing that I gather from ISW's reporting of Russian MOD daily statements is that gains that are reported are, on close analysis, of so little strategic or tactical importance as to be generally disregarded. Juxtapose the tight opsec demonstrated by the Ukrainians and it is really hard to accurately determine opposing troop positions on the ground. That determines who is in control of it and who isn't. milbloggers tend to be more reliable sources but ISW's thinking is that some of the prominent ones have been either shut down or infiltrated by Russian propagandists.

Another problem is that the Russians are cloaking the forced relocation of Ukrainians and Russian troop movements into Russia under multiple false narratives, e.g., "vacations" R&R associated with normal troop rotations, routine "filtration measures." What ISW did read into the new overall commander's statement that the situation in Kherson is "difficult" and "evacuations" are underway is that the damage to the Kerst Straights Bridge, the destruction of the Antonivka Bridge and Ukraine's daily artillery and air interdiction strikes on Russian supply points and troop concentrations is severely detracting from Russia's ability to resupply and defend Kherson and surrounding villages and towns.

One thing that has been mentioned is that Ukraine is much less likely to apply a scorched earth policy of destruction in Kherson than the Russians demonstrated in Mariupol in the South and cities in the Eastern Theater. That may stop Ukraine from trying to advance into Kherson and conduct the typically destructive urban warfare that would follow. They'd much rather play the long game and see the Russians abandon defense of the city. That may actually be happening under the cover of what I mentioned above. IOW, it's not civilians being evacuated but Russian troops. It has already been established that Russian officers and their families posted there left weeks ago. That's also taken place in Crimea - all signs that Russian officials fear they cannot defend and hold Kherson or, possibly even Crimea against a determined Ukrainian offensive either real (less likely) or believed to be a threat through Ukrainian disinformation (more likely).

[THE_WIZARD_]

Wiz + Talent: two posters, one brain

Well...yeah...Talent has no brain...

[iam416]

In case anyone was wondering, no, The Wizard never, ever approaches lucidity. Or, at a minimum, he hasn't for over 23 years of posting.

[THE_WIZARD_]

I prefer to refer to it as...Silent Lucidity...

[iam416]

We would all take the Silent part of that deal. I mean, where do I sign up?

[THE_WIZARD_]

STFU

[Dr. Strangelove]

The Chairman commands LET THERE BE OIL and there was oil.

Checkmate, you MAGA clods. Back to your caves and hovels with you

[THE_WIZARD_]

Your sarcasm is duly noted...

[crashcourse]

katie hobbs is getting her ass handed to her

Video of her organizing a slave show while in hight school

video of her and project varitos

katie sounds like a little munchin

kinda think kari lake may coattail blake masters into the senate position

they have been doing the ask kari and ask blake anything tour with pretty good turnout.

lake is one of the few that dares go against the media full force

compare and contrast hobbs and lake on the recent dana bash interviews on CNN

[THE_WIZARD_]

Red.Wave.Bloodbath.

Boo it.