Originally posted by Hannibal
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Turnout in Florida in 2016 was 74.48%. There are 14,065,627 registered voters in Florida. If turnout ends up being about the same that'll mean 10,549,220 people voted. In other words, only about another 1.5M votes tomorrow. Turnout of 80% would mean another 700,000 votes or so on top of that.
Right now the breakdown in Florida as to who already HAS voted
3.5M (D)
3.4M (R)
2.0M (I)
Assume the two major party defectors cancel each other out. The big question is how do those Independents who have already voted split? If it's 55-45, Biden has a 300,000 vote lead. If it's 60-40, Biden has a 500,000 vote lead.
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