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Yeah, you can definitely see MW going R and Sun Belt splitting with higher population states going D.
Longer term, of course.
Some of the MW could go R. Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Illinois (dominated by Chicago) did not over-rely on manufacturing in the way that Michigan, Ohio, and western PA did. I don't think Trump's reversal of 40 years of Republican policy on free trade and newfound hatred for lax immigration (see his stances 2012 or earlier) have as much resonance up there. And the white population in Minnesota/Wisconsin, quite frankly, has more of a socialist/Scandinavian bent.
Depends. It's a 20-yr proposition, but I think Pa, Ohio and Michigan will drift toward R. That means Ohio will go and PA and M will go purple. Wisconsin, I think, will evolve, too. Minnesota is probably solid D for the long term.
Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]? Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.
Disagree on PA. The most Republican parts of PA are dying. Scranton, Altoona, Pittsburgh, will all decline in importance as Harrisburg-York-Allentown-Philly rise and I don't see that area becoming majority Republican.
Not sure it'll be true even in Ohio. If Trump fails will the Republican Party continue to embrace protectionism? Doubt it. Much more likely the Party falls apart and splits.
If the line at my polling station is any indication, no chance of Michigan going for Trump. We need early voting or more polling places. This line is bigger than 2008 or 2012. FFS
Mine was 15 minute wait. At 7am. And Ohio has early voting. Because Ohio doesn't hate black folks. Unless they leave the state to play for M. But that's understandable.
Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]? Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.
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