I haven't considered this but the Republicans haven't settled on a primary schedule yet (the Dems have). If they do something similar and shake up the schedule it could change conventional wisdom a bit (hint hint: Florida goes earlier than usual).
In competitive years, the Republican that wins Iowa wins the nomination less than half the time.
1980: Bush beat Reagan
1988: Dole beat Bush
2008: Huckabee beat McCain (who finished 4th)
2012: Santorum beat Romney
2016: Cruz beat Trump (RIGGED!)
In competitive years, the Republican that wins Iowa wins the nomination less than half the time.
1980: Bush beat Reagan
1988: Dole beat Bush
2008: Huckabee beat McCain (who finished 4th)
2012: Santorum beat Romney
2016: Cruz beat Trump (RIGGED!)
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