Here are some key points I'm picking up from the military analysis feeds I'm reading**:
Obviously, Putin alleging that the entire Ukrainian government, including Zelenski, who is Jewish, are neo-Nazi's is a propagandistic, blatant lie. But these dudes are hardened soldiers schooled in killing and skilled in creating havoc within the Russian ranks. That Mariupol remains unsecured by Russian forces despite unprecedented bombardment that has damaged or destroyed 90% of the structures in that city tells a huge story. That is the Russians appear to be suffering signficant losses of personnel and equipment in their attempts, so far unsuccessful, to take over the city. Certainly, the Russian speaking residence there are not welcoming them. Yuo can read about the Azov Battalion here: https://www.dw.com/en/the-azov-batta...pol/a-61151151
** I want to be perfectly clear: I'm referencing military analysis feeds that those sources rely heavily on input from the Ukrainian General Staff and Ministry of Defense. There's a good deal of propaganda and bias in these reports. It is also clear to me that the claims being received by AEI's CTR Project are vetted to the extent possible by social media postings, available overhead imagery and what ever sources outside of Ukraine are also reporting - British intelligence, for example. When there is congruence the CTR puts it up on their daily analysis. When there isn't it doesn't or caveats that the claim cannot be confirmed.
- The Kremlin is preparing the Russian population for a long war
- Elements of the Russian armed forces (Unarmiya) involving 17-18yo youths in military training, similar to ROTC, are being conscripted to fight in Ukraine
- Overall and reported by the Ukrainian GRU (intelligence arm) there is widespread resistance to conscription throughout Russia.
- To obtain troop replenishments, various security elements are forcing young men into service at gun point.
- The Ukrainian government rejected a local Russian commanders offer of a cease fire in Mariupol on the condition the city would lay down it's arms.
- Regarding the cease fire, point made that the Russians are not to be trusted in matters of humanitarian aid or cease fires. They offer these to resupply their own forces.
- Ukrainian forces claim to have killed three Russian regimental commanders in the last 24 hours.
- Commanders of the 331st VDV Regiment, 247th VDV Regiment, and the 6th Tank Regiment (90th Tank Division, CMD) are among those reportedly killed (video confirmation)
- Deputy Commander of the Black Sea Fleet for military-political affairs, Captain of the 1st Rank Andrei Paly, was killed in Mariupol. (Video confirmation)
Obviously, Putin alleging that the entire Ukrainian government, including Zelenski, who is Jewish, are neo-Nazi's is a propagandistic, blatant lie. But these dudes are hardened soldiers schooled in killing and skilled in creating havoc within the Russian ranks. That Mariupol remains unsecured by Russian forces despite unprecedented bombardment that has damaged or destroyed 90% of the structures in that city tells a huge story. That is the Russians appear to be suffering signficant losses of personnel and equipment in their attempts, so far unsuccessful, to take over the city. Certainly, the Russian speaking residence there are not welcoming them. Yuo can read about the Azov Battalion here: https://www.dw.com/en/the-azov-batta...pol/a-61151151
** I want to be perfectly clear: I'm referencing military analysis feeds that those sources rely heavily on input from the Ukrainian General Staff and Ministry of Defense. There's a good deal of propaganda and bias in these reports. It is also clear to me that the claims being received by AEI's CTR Project are vetted to the extent possible by social media postings, available overhead imagery and what ever sources outside of Ukraine are also reporting - British intelligence, for example. When there is congruence the CTR puts it up on their daily analysis. When there isn't it doesn't or caveats that the claim cannot be confirmed.
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