Miscellaneous And Off Topic Subjects

[froot loops]

Polls are noisy, there is no sense in picking and choosing polls. Its why sites like 538 and Upshot are valuable. they average all the polls to deaden the noise. And I will reiterate, its better to have a +1 GOP Rasmussen or +13 Democrat near election day. You should have those, it means the pollsters aren't herding.

It must be noted that the polls were pretty good this year, no systematic failure and everything went about as expected. The early results of Tuesday looked like it may have been a repeat of 2016 because Florida had eerily similar results to how it went then. There was even a point where the 538 model went from 80 percent chance to 40 percent chance because of how their aggressive their model was. But it ended up right in the middle of their projection.

[iam416]

Correct. The polls got the House Vote roughly right and got the House gains right. They missed in Florida, though within the MoE and really missed in Missouri. I understand Indiana is really hard to poll because they don't allow robocalling, so that's excusable.

But, sometimes you'll miss by a bit. I'd say Gillum and McCaskill were the two biggest misses.

[froot loops]

Senate polls in general are not held in high regard. The lesson of Florida needs to be relearned is that they will generally be too optimistic on the Democratic side. Missouri was a miss, but not that much of a miss. McCaskill's polling average in RCP was right about her vote total was, maybe Hawley took all the undecideds.

[Jeff Buchanan]

That Gillum in FL appears to have lost out to DeSantis is really surprising. DeSantis was not well liked by not just a few Rs. There were last minute adds from both camps - racist in tone - that probably mobilized a lot of fringe R voters that would have sat out voting if it hadn't been for the adds...... oh, my God, we are going to have a black. socialist governor if we don't get off the couch and vote.

Within the last few hours, it's become apparent that Nelson is going to get a recount and Gillum, who actually conceded, is also likely to get a recount that will be automatically triggered by the closeness of the gubernatorial vote as all the votes come in. His camp reports that even though Gillum conceded, they won't decline a recount which Gillum could do but apparently won't.

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/news...108-story.html

[Dr. Strangelove]

I wonder what district will get eliminated in Ohio after the next census?

They may come after the 9th which is just a narrow strip along the lake from Toledo to the western Cleveland burbs. If you can break that into 3 pieces you might be able to merge it into the nearby republican districts without endangering them too badly. But there's no doubt that eliminating any Dem seat (there's only 4) will suddenly make one or to 'safe' Republican seats a lot less safe.

[crashcourse]

there has to be some fitness standards for judeges.

judges who constantly are falling down or falling asleep hve to be under some scrutiny to be removed against their will

don't know if supreme court judges fall under a different standard or not

[Dr. Strangelove]

Rick Scott's lead in Florida has dropped from around 60,000 votes Election night to just 17,344 at 2pm today

https://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2018/11/08/how-bill-nelson-could-ultimately-win-the-recount-in-floridas-senate-race/

[Kapture1]

Rick Scott's lead in Florida has dropped from around 60,000 votes Election night to just 17,344 at 2pm today

https://www.tampabay.com/florida-pol...s-senate-race/

demorats trying again to steal another election in FL

funny how they just happened to find 45000 votes in Broward Co.

[Kapture1]

7oB7STTg28B3ApVq-HNpAgRdg3MmlW3bWN__fU4qw0U.jpg?width=888&auto=webp&s=a222eaa637d339f43ce3786ba3e0c145b72dab72.jpg

[Dr. Strangelove]

demorats trying again to steal another election in FL

funny how they just happened to find 45000 votes in Broward Co.

There is a 30,000 undervote for the Senate race there. Basically a total of 690,000 people voted but only 660,000 people voted in the Senate race. More people voted for the Florida Commissioner of Agriculture than made a choice, either way, in the Senate race. It seems unlikely that there's THAT many people who simply didn't feel like voting in that race.

One theory that's been proposed is that the ballot design made the Senate race hard to find and lots of people skipped it. If that's the case, there's nothing anyone can do. Nelson's lawyer is proposing though that there was some sort of mechanical problem and thousands of votes, both for Scott and Nelson, simply weren't counted.

As for the margin dropping in the past 48 hours, that's not all due to Broward. When a race gets called by the media, thousands if not millions of votes still get counted afterwards. Ballots keep arriving from overseas and every state handles absenetees differently. Provisional ballots don't get counted unless it's close, so every county has to go through those now too and make sure they're legit.

[Kapture1]

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[Kapture1]

incase you need a reminder of who we're dealing with down there

oOFpaS8.jpg

[froot loops]

This is just standard voting counting. Just because everything isn't tied up in bows by 11 PM on Fox News doesn't mean it is illegitimate or stealing elections. When elections are very close, it sometimes takes days. You should be very careful about using such language. The more people vote the better and everything should be done to count every vote. You never know when you are on the other side. They have laws that determine recounts for reasons.

If you are going to accuse people of stealing elections provide evidence and not something that Jacob Wohl cooked up.

[froot loops]

Its exactly why every vote needs some sort of paper trail.

[WingsFan]

Shit I didnt even know these crazy mob people were allowed on FB.

Facebook is still hosting the left wing terrorist organization's page which sent a mob to Tucker Carlson's house and is encouraging more home-invasions.


https://www.facebook.com/AntifaDC/