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Michigan 27, Alabama 20, 1OT

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  • #46
    Originally posted by THE_WIZARD_ View Post

    It looked like it opened initially at 2.5...
    Maybe so at some. Never did with mine.
    "The problem with quotes on the Internet is that it is sometimes hard to verify their authenticity." -Abraham Lincoln

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    • #47
      Fanduel had it there, by game time Michigan will be the dog...as they should.

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      • #48
        Personally, I wouldn’t touch this game. Bama can suit up and beat anyone - including Georgia - as well as beating LSU, Ole Miss, Tennessee and others like that by double-digits. We can also need a miracle 4th and 31 to eke out a miracle win against a tepid Auburn team, struggle by a really awful Arkansas by 3, and a horrible USF by 14.

        I like our chances to win, but losing by 10 or 14 wouldn’t shock me, either. I wouldn’t even bet this game with Talent’s money.
        "The problem with quotes on the Internet is that it is sometimes hard to verify their authenticity." -Abraham Lincoln

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        • #49
          I agree. Not touching this game on the spread but I already placed a bet on the O/U...have the over at 45.5...
          Shut the fuck up Donny!

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          • #50
            I don't know if he'll do it or if it's a good plan but Harbaugh has the tools to force a shoot out. It's out of character but being that way seems to consistently be a key to winning at this level.
            Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.

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            • #51
              The Dirty Fucking Cheaters are going to struggle on offense. The WRs are meh and the OL is meh. QB and RB very good. Good enough to win the B10, but the SEC ain't that.
              Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]?
              Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.

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              • #52
                The Shithole Cheaters with Numbers on Their Helmets have problems of their own. They do have a tough matchup against M's seconday. Millroe is gads better than he was when they looked like total dogshit against USF, but he's still going to have issues with M's secondary. That said, the Dirty Fucking Cheaters haven't played a truly mobile QB who was any good all year. The Honda McCord may have been the best QB they played. JFC.
                Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]?
                Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.

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                • #53
                  Shithole cheaters with numbers on their helmets. That’s a walk down memory lane. That was a great screed. It was fake, but it was so well done, all I can continue to do is tip my cap to the author. Apparently, the guy was who wrote it was a LSU message board guy and it caught fire. Gotta respect it.
                  "The problem with quotes on the Internet is that it is sometimes hard to verify their authenticity." -Abraham Lincoln

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                  • #54
                    It's a classic
                    Dan Patrick: What was your reaction to [Urban Meyer being hired]?
                    Brady Hoke: You know.....not....good.

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                    • #55
                      Anyway, Bama is flawed. We are the most cohesive true team I’ve seen at Bama since 2009, though. We are definitely better than the sum of our parts. Hopefully, this synergy will continue against the Nation’s #1 team and Vegas line favorite.
                      "The problem with quotes on the Internet is that it is sometimes hard to verify their authenticity." -Abraham Lincoln

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                      • #56
                        I know many people don’t like to bring up past results when predicting the future, but I love history.

                        M is 3-13 in their last 16 bowl games dating back to 2003 (sucks for me as a millennial M fan). Jim Harbaugh is 1-6 at M and has lost 6 in a row.
                        Alabama is 16-6 in bowl games under Saban.
                        Looking at past results, my worry is “less talented” midwest teams getting smoked by the SEC in recent big game bowl history. Excludes Ohio State as they recruit at an elite level.

                        Going to have to break a trend if winning the Rose Bowl.
                        AAL 2023 - Alim McNeill

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                        • #57
                          Michigan historically does not play well on the West coast. Especially in the Rose Bowl. But, Michigan couldn't have chosen the Sugar Bowl without giving Alabama a de-facto home game. So, its off to the Rose. At least both teams have a good distance to travel.

                          Saban has quietly honed his team into a NC contender, and he knocked off the big dog in CFB in the process. He knows how to win big games.

                          My first impression, after looking at the Alabama v Georgia game, is I think Alabama will likely beat Michigan by 7-10 points.
                          "in order to lead America you must love America"

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                          • #58
                            I copied and pasted this off mgboard because it takes a shit-ton of time for me to put this kind of thing together and, no surprise, a guy that's probably in his early 30s and is much more adroit at assembling the data than I am. So credit to whoever "bluesong" is at mgo.

                            Sagarin Ranking

                            1. Michigan 97.55

                            3. Ohio State 94.83

                            5. Penn State 93.82

                            6. Alabama 92.65



                            SP+ Overall Rankings

                            1. Michigan 32.1

                            3. Ohio State 26.7

                            4. Penn State 26.0

                            7. Alabama 23.7



                            SP+ Offensive Rankings

                            10. Michigan 37.6

                            11. Alabama 37.1

                            25. Ohio State 34.2

                            26. Penn State 34.1



                            SP+ Defensive Rankings

                            1. Michigan 7.4

                            3. Ohio State 8.8

                            4. Penn State 9.5

                            9. Alabama 15.4



                            FEI Opponent-Adjusted Overall Efficiency

                            1. Michigan

                            3. Ohio State

                            5. Penn State

                            11. Alabama



                            FEI Opponent-Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

                            5. Michigan

                            13. Ohio State

                            20. Penn Sate

                            21. Alabama



                            FEI Opponent-Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

                            1. Ohio State

                            2. Penn State

                            4. Michigan

                            9. Alabama
                            Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.

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                            • #59
                              This is where the cutoff is between the teams that have 30+ 5* guys and the teams like Michigan that have 2.

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                              • #60
                                Jeff, that list is a great example of why I don't put much stock into fancy stats.

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