Michigan 24, PSU 15.

[maxreturn]

When you look at the team stats the teams are very close offensively and defensively. The outcome will largely be determined by which QB performs better. I think McCarthy has a clear edge. If he's at the top of his game and we win the turnover battle, we win. UM wins 27 - 17.

[iam416]

M doesn't need to win the TO battle, they just can't be worse than -1 in the TO battle. If they win the TO battle they'll win by 28.

[THE_WIZARD_]

Sign, sign
Everywhere a sign
Blockin' out the scenery
Breakin' my mind
Do this, don't do that
Can't you read the sign?

[WingsFan]

Toss up game, JJ likes road games so that helps.

[THE_WIZARD_]

GO ASTROS!!!!!!!

[WingsFan]

Heh

[Hannibal]

I don't feel great about this game.

[iam416]

Ohio State destroyed that Penn State offense. M's defense is likely to score more points than PSU's offense.

[Hannibal]

We'll see. We haven't played a real offense yet so we don't know how our defense translates into someone with a pulse. We have had statistically great defenses get absolutely wrecked late in the season on more than a few occasions.

And although we appear to have licked our road woes the past couple of years, Harbaugh's average in that department is still really bad.

[iam416]

Drew Allar isn't wrecking anyone. PSU's WRs aren't wrecking anyone.

The bigger challenge is against PSU's defense which is, IMO, legitimately good.

[Hannibal]

Back in 2018, we felt pretty good about our defense going late into the season and they got shredded by Indiana -- coached on offense by Mike Debord. No need to mention what OSU did. As I said, we've been here before, and this movie has had an unhappy ending on a few occasions.

[iam416]

Jesse Minter is not Don Brown.

[Hannibal]

Yeah but we don't know if he's actually any good. To say that he got bent over and fucked up the ass by TCU would be an understatement. So we know that the guy has the Don Brown gene in him at least.

[iam416]

Well, heh -- I think Minter *might* have got hoisted on his own petard with the CS information. If they play TCU straight up they win that game by 3 TDs. TCU was terrible. If they get gamed into thinking a certain play is coming and TCU hornswaggles them, then, yeah -- that's how you consistently get these chunk plays. And, vice versa, maybe how JJ throws bad INTs.

Whatever. That's for a different thread.

They're going to play Penn State straight up and they're just better. This will, however, be a window into how they'll fair against Georgia in the CFP title game.

[THE_WIZARD_]

SPYBAUGH!!!!!!! 30 franklin 19