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Michigan 35, UNLV 7

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  • #31
    I just read Fee-Fi-Foe Film, a return of a usually great analysis of the weekend's opponent, if not excruciatingly detailed. UNLV comes to town running a unique offense named the GoGo offense. Their OC is the godfather of it. IOW, it's his invention that for the last decade or so, has appeared in parts or in whole on a bunch of teams where he's had a coaching job. He's now UNLV OC with the authority to put all of it together on the field.

    It's a spread, up-tempo, basketball on grass offense that features elements of the triple option. There is a ton of miss-direction with a bit of power and deep shots fit into it. Michigan's defense has never seen anything like this. UNLV, according to the mgo article has "no talent." I'm always skeptical of takes like that. Taking the players in the context of this unique offense may very well make the skill players look awesome. IOW, the offense will succeed (or fail) with frippery not raw talent among the skill players or OL. Also, M's defense needs to spend a good deal of time in the film room preparing for what the Rebel's offense does so as not to get jobbed by big plays. Watch out for the triple option - always a tough play to defend against.

    My opening post included a score prediction of 45 - 10 not based on any description of UNLV's offense. If anything, UNLV's offense could spring some big plays and score a couple of TDs ...... or, M's defenders bring such a huge talent differential to the field, the D will just overwhelm and swallow up the frippery.

    Fee Fi Foe Film: UNLV Offense 2023 | mgoblog
    https://mgoblog.com/content/fee-fi-foe-film-unlv-offense-2023#read-more
    Fee Fi Foe Film is back for another season with its most twisted concoction yet: full film breakdown of UNLV against Bryant. That's UNLV, a Mountain West program that has appeared in two bowl games in your author's lifetime (and just one in the past two decades), against Bryant, an FCS program that went 4-7 last season. The game was not on regular television but instead on Mountain West Network streaming. It was played in 65,000 seat Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and only 20,347 showed up for it. Why are you reading this? Because you're a SICK person.    The Film: UNLV has played one game this season. It is against Bryant. Normally I don't do FCS games but the constraints are forcing us, it's week one. This is the only opponent. Also, because UNLV has a new coach and a totally different offensive scheme, I can't go back to last season and do a game. I did not want to have to do this game but here we are. One of the unfortunate consequences of having to do this game is the video quality, as you will see. The few highlight reel clips that made it into professional highlights will be embedded from YouTube. The rest I was left scrounging for from methods I don't typically enjoy, so my apologies on the video quality in my clips being rather rough... not even the Russians wanted to provide a usable torrent of UNLV/Bryant.  The personnel: Return of The Chart. [click for big] UNLV returns a starting QB in Doug Brumfield, who was pretty good for a Group of 5 starter last season. I was disappointed by him in this game so he didn't get the star, but his caliber of play was commendable in 2022. Brumfield was the difference between catastrophe and competency for the entire UNLV team in the final season of Marcus Arroyo's regime, a lefty with solid passing ability and some sizzle on the ground too. He's the best non-con QB Michigan will play this season.  RB is where things get interesting. Most of this piece will be centered around UNLV's GoGo Offense under new OC Brennan Marion so I have many more details to share, but the funky look of this chart reflects this scheme. The GoGo's base scheme has two RBs on the field so UNLV has no shortage of RB names, none of whom have differentiated themselves and they rotated heavily against Bryant. Donavyn Lester and Jai'Den Thomas are listed as the starters in the chart but Courtney Reese was also used heavily and Vincent Davis Jr. had a long TD run against Bryant. I expect all to play at least a dozen snaps against Michigan. Of that group, Thomas was the one I liked the most and he gets the lone star.  UNLV running its GoGo does not use TEs heavily, so they were omitted from the starting lineup in the chart, as that reflects the base set. When they put a TE on the field, Kaleo Ballungay and Shelton Zion III were used equally heavily and I was not impressed whatsoever by either. Christian Earls is the third TE you may see. Instead of tight ends, UNLV prefers to go with two outside WRs and a slot. The two outside WRs were pretty stable against Bryant, Senika McKie and Ricky White. Yes, that Ricky White. Both players are fine but I did not feel they earned star status. Landon Rogers is the other outside WR who will mix in, while the slot is held down by an ex-JUCO Jacob De Jesus. At 5'7", 175, De Jesus is not a big boy but he's a nifty player and wowed as a particularly effective punt/kick returner. Timothy Conerly is the second-string slot.  The offensive line did not impress me against Bryant and my baseline expectation is it will probably be a bloodbath against Michigan on Saturday. The right side of the line returns from last season, RG Amani Trigg-Wright and RT Tiger Shanks, the latter of whom put up a subpar showing against a bad opponent. C Jack Hasz is a transfer from Buffalo and seemed okay, besides two false starts (on the center!!). LT was slated to be Jalen St. John, but he did not play against Bryant and instead Anton Ambuehl got the start, a player who did not appear ready for that task. Finally Alani Makihele is the LG, but rotated out some with true freshman Ethan Boyd, who was woeful.  As a general statement about the personnel, this team has no talent at all on offense. It's the scheme that's fun.  [AFTER THE JUMP: GoGoGoGoGoGo]
    Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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    • #32
      2nd game in a new and quirky system with vastly inferior personnel? It should be a bloodbath.

      I could get worried iff they had enough time running it to get efficient.
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      • #33
        Do not underestimate the Rebels. They won the Revolutionary War...and gave the Union a hell of a battle for four years...
        Shut the fuck up Donny!
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        • #34
          Those were different rebels.
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          • #35
            That offense makes me a bit nervous, but I don't see UNLV having the horses to stop Michigan on offense. No way, man.
            "The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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            • #36
              STFU
              Shut the fuck up Donny!
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              • #37
                Originally posted by Mike View Post
                Those were different rebels.
                Still, it's surprising that they haven't been cancelled yet.
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                • #38
                  Rebels is an offensive nickname/mascot. They should rename it the UNLV Running Trannies...
                  Shut the fuck up Donny!
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                  • #39
                    Michigan is a 37 point favorite (down from opening odds of 38.5) with O/U at 58. I expect the movement has to do with the wagering. It seems to me that Harbaugh's MO, which I expect to shape how Mike Hart calls the game, is not to run up a gaudy score against an opponent after the outcome is in hand.

                    If we can learn anything about the team's approach to the 2023 offense from last week's opener, it is that there is less emphasis on imposing M's will through the run game. Campbell and Minter were quick to back off power runs and call PA when it became clear what ECU was doing on defense. That didn't happen last season and the most glaring error in that approach was v. TCU in the play-offs. Granted. JJ looks much sharper and is seeing the field better so, that may be part of the increased emphasis on the passing game.

                    Still, a lot will depend on how UNLV decides to defend. Opponents may be better off running less aggressive run stopping schemes; I don't think what ECU did got them much and it allowed Campbell and JJ to run a whole bunch of, albeit vanilla, pass plays. Regardless of what the Rebels do on defense, I'll be watching to see how closely the play callers get to a 50/50 distribution of run and pass plays.
                    Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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                    • #40
                      The offense that UNLV reportedly runs is very dependent on deception and misdirection. I remember MSU's John L Smith came in to Michigan Stadium and ran the same type of thing that involved a ton of counter/misdirection plays. Its designed to neutralize aggressive defenses by taking advantage of their over-pursuit. So, Minter is going to have to coach up the guys to read the plays more, rather than pinning their ears back and coming after them. Play your position, don't over-pursue. It will not shock me if UNLV shows some early success with this stuff.

                      Problem for them is, they're not going to be able to stop Michigan's offense. They just don't have the bodies. So it may be a back and forth game early on, but I think I'm confident that Michigan will adjust to whatever the Rebs are running, and they should take control later in the 2nd half.

                      I don't think Michigan will cover the spread. That will irk some bettors, but while Harbaugh is out, the strategy is going to be to get the game under control, score the W, and avoid injuries.

                      I'll say Michigan 38 UNLV 17
                      "The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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                      • #41
                        Damn, CBS is fantastic with the camera work when compared to everyone but NBC.

                        I think they mentioned first CBS broadcast for M since 1986.
                        AAL 2023 - Alim McNeill
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                        • #42
                          To the point where I just want to see UM throw on every play.
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                          • #43
                            egads ...

                            McCarthy.

                            How do you ask the kid to play better?
                            "The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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                            • #44
                              The play calling. Wtf
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                              • #45
                                Who needs Mazi Smith (2023 Cowboys 1st RD pick) when you have Kenneth Grant… Beast.
                                AAL 2023 - Alim McNeill
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