BTCCG Michigan 43. Purdue 22

[WingsFan]

Sounds like he shoulda been a Sparty...

No, If he shot himself in his own leg it would.

[THE_WIZARD_]

harsh but humerus

pun intended

[Jeff Buchanan]

Here we are. At the start of the season and after watching JJ McCarthy be probably not as quite good as the hype made him out to be, were in the BTCCG for the second straight year, shitting on osu again to claim a spot in Indy. We've seen how good this team can play without Corum ..... against the most fucked up defensive scheme and busts within ti from osu that we will likely never see replicated. What we don't know is how M will play minus Blake Corum against a competent but not great Purdue defense.

M still should have a decent run game. Stokes is going to get more run v. Purdue than he has against other teams on M's schedule. He has the capacity to bea grinder whose skill levels at the CFB level are either not tapped or, well, don't exist. Edwards isn't a grinder like Corum who could consistently turn a 2 yard gain into 5 yards and had the change of direction capability that reminded a lot of people of a not as fast Barry Sanders. Edwards is just straight ahead fast as a bat out of hell - cheetah fast and you saw it v. osu, major coverage busts, notwithstanding. I don't think he has the vision or the cutting ability of Corum and that's a loss. He may not need it.

M's interior OL is good at duo on DTs that offer gapping holes for a running back to exploit. Purdue has DTs that are just guys. They've stood up though ..... against most teams in the west beating Illinois for some strange reason. Chase Brown still had 143y at a 6+ ypc clip prompting the question, "how the fuck did Illinois lose that game." Well, CFB. M's rush offense behind an OL loaded with award winners and candidates for more of them is better, even without Corum, than anything Purdue has faced this season and M is not likely to implode.

Compared to Purdue's OK rush D, their pass D isn't great but it looks much better than it probably is in fancy stats. In the BIG they're 12th at giving up 40-yard passes, in front of only Indiana and Ohio State, and tied for 12th at 30+ yard passes, tied with Ohio State. They're 13th at 20+ yard passes. By coverage grades in PFF they rank 91st nationally.

ST has problems with FGs and punts.

I've already posted the most likely ways Purdue can stay in contact with M: (1) Brohm out duels Minter. Self explanatory. (2) WInning on D. Purdue has to win the LOS, stop the run, get M off the field, deliver pressure in the pass game and get McCarthy confused. Not having Corum obviously helps Purdue but I've already addressed that M's OL is capable of dominating Purdue's DTs in the run game. M still has two capable RBs even though one is going to be wearing a cast on his left hand.

Nobody that I'm reading thinks Purdue can win this game but the Boilers do have some of the parts to stay competitive, Brohm is one of them, and steal a win given bad shit happening to M. So, you can't dismiss them and I'm not nor is anyone else who is writing pre-game analysis. Sticking with the score I posted up thread. My guess at how many points M will score is on the low side compared to other's predictions but I think M's offensive game plan has to be adjusted to account for Blake Corum's absence. I have no doubt Harbaugh will see how manball goes and if it does and M is driving the field and scoring TDs, he'll stick with that keeping the score down. But he better have an alternate plan that features ROs and can stretch the lead with the long ball should Purdue prove to be able to stay close with a few big plays.

Michigan, 38-17.

[klondike]

Just rewatch the Purdue Minny game. Minnesota just got over a blow out of Sparty and was 4-0 and lost embarrassingly to Purdue 20-10. Minnesota was avg. near 285 rush yards and was held to 44 on 25 carries. I expect them to sell out to stop the run. McCarthy better be prepared and the receivers better show up. They will need to to win.

[maxreturn]

Statistically Michigan dominates Purdue in nearly every category both offensively and defensively. The only "edge" that Purdue has is that they rank 21st in passing offense with 281 ypg. UM ranks 91st with 215 ypg. Frankly I was expecting that Purdue's passing stats would be more impressive. Defensively Purdue ranks 37th in rushing defense and 58 in passing defense while UM ranks 3rd and 11th respectively. I just don't see a Purdue win unless UM melts down both offensively and defensively and/or they lose the turnover battle decisively. GO BLUE!

[THE_WIZARD_]

BEATDOWN. HARBAUGH!!!!!!! STYLE!

[Jeff Buchanan]

I hope this team is on upset alert.

[THE_WIZARD_]

JFC. STFU.

[maxreturn]

I hope this team is on upset alert.

Jeff...take a sip of your favorite alcoholic beverage and relax. My take is that at worse, if UM holds true to form it may be a close game at halftime, but then they will impose their will and punish Purdue in the 2nd half. Charlie Jones is by far their most serious threat. I'm sure this is not lost on Minter. Bend but do not break and pick select times to blitz using different schemes.

[THE_WIZARD_]

45-17

[klondike]

45-17

Every prediction is 45-17. We're not that good.

[THE_WIZARD_]

44-17?

[klondike]

23-13

[THE_WIZARD_]

shaddup

[WingsFan]

38-27