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Michigan Football, the 2020 Abbreviated COVID Season
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Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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Yea, good for him, but he'll be one of the first cuts in training camp.
Thanks to Shea for a couple decent years. He was an improvement from the O'Korn/Speight era, but not much.
I hope Michigan starts developing QB's again.
Harbaugh has been a disappointment in that area. Hasn't been the same since Jed Fisch left."The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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Just like the dearth of the kind of talented DEs Don Brown needs to run his brand of defense, that Harbaugh has not had a QB since maybe and sort-of Iowa transfer Jake Rudock to run either of his offensive style (his and then Gattis') is weird.
If you want a simple answer to why M has sucked against elite teams like osu and Alabama and even one's approaching that status like PSU, Wisconsin and Florida, you don't have to look any further than the lack of game changers at DE and QB.
M could have the QB problem in hand but the DE problem just gets worse - that according to an in-depth look at the DE position in and Mgo article last week.
Who knows what happens with the 2020 season but it's a good bet that if M played it in some form, they'd equal or be slightly worse than their historical .750 in a full or shortened regular season. I think Brown's D getting burned too often will be the biggest contributor to that level mediocrity.
If there was a bowl game at the end of a regular season, I'd expect Harbaugh to dial up his usual shit-show against the typicl opponent with equal or better talent at key positions ...... another weird aspect of his HC tenure at M.
To that end, I'm already planning alternative activities for the 2020 season as I don't believe there will be a season opener in Seattle or any games played where, as would be necessary to hold them, fans in any BT stadiums. I also don't think the NCAA will pursue a course where games are played without fans; schools would resist that kind of move on a purely monetary basis. Without butts in seats, the cost of traveling to play away games or the loss of revenue from ticket sales at home games makes little financial sense. I'm sure there is a wide range of opinions on this but the virus and how ADs think football fans respond to it will drive whatever happens through the normal end of a football season in early December.Last edited by Jeff Buchanan; May 3, 2020, 05:24 PM.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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Harbaugh is making some waves again as he puts out an 'open letter' to the NFL, NFLPA and the NCAA regarding player eligibility, the draft, etc.
I like the idea of undrafted players being allowed to return to school if they choose, as long as they haven't hired an agent. I also believe a player should be able to leave for the NFL whenever they want. If some hotshot thinks he's ready to go up against Pro-Bowl talent, then go for it, son. Good luck. Why any school/team would want to keep a player who's mind and heart is in the NFL, is beyond me. Cut them loose and move on.
Michigan's Jim Harbaugh takes aim at NFL Draft rules, other college football issues in 'open letter'Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh has never been hesitant to challenge the rules that govern college athletics, particularly football."The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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Looking this afternoon for something credible and fact based to bring insight into when, more likely if, NCAA sports will return before the end of this year. Didn't find much.
The NCAA issued a statement on that question on May 1st and it's here: http://www.ncaa.org/about/ncaa-social-series There's another event in the NCAA series linked to here discussing restarting NCAA sports tonight at 7pm, streaming at the link.
The gist of the NCAA's first statement is that sports return when "socialization" returns to college campuses. I've seen huge regional variation on that concept but, by far, though, most colleges and universities say campus life as we knew it pre-COVID won't be returning in August/September. Maybe at the start of the Winter or Spring sessions in 2021. CFB will likely parallel "socialization" concepts that NCAA member colleges and universities will follow.
The UGA system will be on-line through the summer with "plans to resume in person classes in a staggered approach in August." There is a schedule for summer orientation but it is tentative. I'm not sure what UGS's concept of resuming in-person classes in a staggered approach means. I doubt it means dorm life, fraternity life, gatherings and no-restrictions - there will be plenty of restrictions, no doubt. There's nothing official about UGA football. There was comment a few weeks ago from the SEC Commissioner saying words to the effect he's optimistic about playing football this fall. I'd call him hugely unrealistic.
I think the main take-aways from my perusal of applicable sports news are few, if any programs or conferences, are talking seriously or giving dates for CFB to be played. We could see some talk by the end of June depending on what the outcomes in states like FL, Wisconsin and GA look like. COVID facts to date, i.e., what we know about the virus, it's R(O) and various rate indicators that allow us insight into its spread, tell us it's unlikely CFB will be conducted in the presence of fans. In the absence of a vaccine or solid therapeutics, games being played in open air or closed venues with fans in those venues, without distancing and without masks is a non-starter. It's very high risk and fans are unlikely to want to attend at all. There are all kinds of variations on mitigation measures inside a stadium that you could implement but football games played in front of fans in a stadium, regardless of partial or full implementation of possible measures, would produce an outbreak of the virus. i.e., the event would spawn a large number of new infections. I think that is a safe prediction based on what we know about COVID and what we know historically about pandemic viruses.
What prompted me to write this article was a trip to mgoboard where a discussion is on-going on this subject. Several asked are there any good studies that might shed light on how you would play a football game in the Big House. Responses were mostly that there aren't any. Setting aside the non-sense, there were a couple of good posts. One of them linked to an article that contained a case study that comes closest to the Big House scenario question. It was the 1918 Philadelphia war bond parade. About 200,000 people packed the streets to watch it as the Spainish Flu pandemic was underway but subsiding with people ending self quarantine and beginning to move outside. Three days later, every hospital in the city was packed with flu patients. In the next month, over 10,000 Philadephians died from the flu. St. Louis, which cancelled it's war bond parade (and had about the same population) only had 700 flu deaths that year.
"Check out the picture in this link. It reminds me somewhat of a football Saturday in Ann Arbor: https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...u-coronavirus/
I can't see any way I'll be comfortable attending a game this fall. And this makes me sad."
This position and link was offered after one poster talked about how social distancing could be maintained in a number of ways. IMO, none of it was practical or would reduce the risk of a slew of new COVID infections popping up associated with the game.
IMO, optimists can talk about a CFB season going down with fans in attendance this fall and through December. That's not going to realistically happen. I do think that IF, a big if, colleges undertake a phased re-socialization program, sports could be played, like we're beginning to see elsewhere, sans fans.
Last edited by Jeff Buchanan; May 15, 2020, 01:50 PM.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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I think, at least in Big Ten country, the only way there's CFB in the fall, is if there are no fans in attendance. It's going to be way too soon, and there's no way to be assured that anyone allowed into the stadium will be COVID free.
I think they may be able to rigorously test the players, coaches and other game administration personnel enough to keep the infections under control, which could allow fan-less games, but there not going to be any way to assure that 100K+ are going to be able to go to the stadium, and not risk getting infected. I'd love to be wrong on this.
"The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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Like I said before, I'd be surprised if the U went ahead with fan-less games for FB or B-Ball. I haven't seen any hard math on this but I wouldn't think TV broadcast revenue, unless it went PPV, would be a cost effective way to off-set the expenses of doing home and away fan less contests.Mission to CFB's National Championship accomplished. But the shine on the NC Trophy is embarrassingly wearing off. It's M B-Ball ..... or hockey or volley ball or name your college sport favorite time ...... until next year.
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PPV? ... lol .. don't give them any ideas ...
If there is a season, I see the real possibility that Michigan is a 6-6 team. This is a tough schedule, and too many unknowns.
My initial pessimistic prediction:
Wins: Ball State, Arky State, Purdue (only because its homecoming), Maryland, Rutgers with MSU as a toss up because its on the road.
Losses: Washington, Wisconsin, Penn State, Minnesota, Indiana (I think this is the year they break thru) and of course, the mail-in loss at Columbus.
So, 6-6 is the outlook, and 5-7 is possible if they can't handle MSU in EL.
"The stockings were hung by the chimney with care, .. I'd worn them for weeks, and they needed the air"
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