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Lions 2024 draft preview: Immediate depth, potential long-term starter needed at safety
Justin Rogers
The Detroit News
Over the next several days, leading up to the 2024 NFL Draft, we’re taking a position-by-position look at the Detroit Lions’ roster and evaluating how the team might address each unit. Today: Safeties.
▶ Current roster: Kerby Joseph, Ifeatu Melifonwu, Brian Branch, Brandon Joseph
▶ Short-term need: 6.5 out of 10
▶ Long-term need: Nine out of 10
▶ Top prospects: Tyler Nubin, Javon Bullard, Jaden Hicks, Cole Bishop, Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
▶ Late-round considerations: Malik Mustapha, Kamren Kinchens, Tyler Owens
▶ Analysis: The evolution of Detroit's starting safety situation was one of the more interesting on-field developments from the 2023 season. What the team initially envisioned and how things ultimately played out were significantly different.
The projected setup had Joseph and Tracy Walker splitting the safety duties, with versatile, veteran defensive back C.J. Gardner-Johnson reprising the nickel role he played in New Orleans, where he'd previously worked with Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn. But the almost-instant emergence of second-round draft pick Brian Branch quickly altered those plans.
By the end of training camp, Branch was plugged into the slot-corner spot, while Gardner-Johnson became the second half of the safety tandem with Joseph, with Walker moving to the bench. Then an early-season injury to Gardner-Johnson put Walker back into the lineup, only for things to change again down the stretch. That's when Melifonwu, the oft-injured converted cornerback, permanently displaced Walker.
Melifonwu's spectacular finish, both in coverage and coming downhill in run support and as a blitzer, has all but locked him into a starting job entering the 2024 season, alongside the constant in the equation, Joseph. But with Walker and Gardner-Johnson gone, there's an immediate need for depth. It's particularly urgent, given the injury concerns with both projected starters.
Plus, looking further into the future, Melifonwu is entering the final year of his contract, leading to uncertainty about the team's long-term outlook on the position. Admittedly, some of that hinges on how Branch's role develops within the scheme. Does he remain at the nickel, where he's shown potential to be one of the league's best at that spot, or can he grow into having a similar impact as an every-down defender at safety?
Regardless, we should view safety as an option for the Lions early in the draft, where most observers don't expect the top options to come off the board until the draft's second day. The consensus pick as the top of the class is Nubin, who offers excellent size and playmaking ability after intercepting 12 passes in his final three seasons at the University of Minnesota.
Also in that mix to be selected in the second round is Hicks, another well-proportioned safety (6-foot-2, 211 pounds) who has more experience playing in the box, and Taylor-Demerson, a fluid mover in the back end with seven interceptions since 2022.
In the later rounds, the Lions could focus more on landing a premium special-teams contributor with developable potential to contribute on defense. It would essentially backfill the role formerly held by C.J. Moore, who the team had retained as a free agent a year earlier, prior to his suspension for violating the league's gambling policy.
Owens fits this mold. There's high-end athleticism built into his 6-foot-2, 216-pound frame, plus a proven track record playing on multiple special-teams units.
There might also be a value option in Kinchens on Day 3, following his struggles during the pre-draft process. Yes, his metrics at the combine were ugly, but that doesn't erase the 11 interceptions he racked up in the past two seasons at Miami.
jdrogers@detroitnews.com
@Justin_Rogers
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