Interesting paywall article from yesterday's News.
Lions' challenge of finding instant impact in 2024 Draft is what GM Holmes likes to see
Justin Rogers
The Detroit News
Orlando, Fla. — The lifeblood of the Detroit Lions' successful, three-year rebuild has unquestionably been the NFL draft.
In 2021, rookie general manager Brad Holmes kick-started the franchise's turnaround with the selections of offensive tackle Penei Sewell, defensive tackle Alim McNeill and wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown. That season, no team got more snaps out of their first-year players than Detroit.
Holmes followed that up with more instant impact in 2022. That year's crop of draft picks combined to start 52 games, led by defensive end Aidan Hutchinson, safety Kerby Joseph and linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez.
And even with the roster looking more complete than the previous two seasons heading into the 2023 Draft, Holmes still managed to find massive contributions from the likes of running back Jahmyr Gibbs, tight end Sam LaPorta, defensive back Brian Branch and linebacker Jack Campbell. Three of those four made the PFWA All-Rookie teams, and Branch was largely an omission because the roster didn't include a nickel cornerback spot.
Still, if you thought it might be difficult for Holmes to find that type of impact from his rookie class last year, imagine the challenge in 2024. Not only are the Lions selecting much later in the first and second rounds of the event — those picks are currently scheduled for No. 29 and No. 61, respectively — where can we reasonably say a rookie is going to start, or even see meaningful snaps early in the season, without an unexpected injury ahead of them on the depth chart?
For Holmes, who remains committed to building and sustaining success through the draft, this is actually supposed to be how it looks.
"I think that's where you want to be at, honestly," Holmes said during a Tuesday media session with local reporters at the league meetings.
Holmes compared Detroit's upcoming draft to his time in Los Angeles, although it's a little bit different, since the Rams haven't retained their first-round pick in the event since taking quarterback Jared Goff No. 1 overall in 2016. That means the selections the team has made, often starting in the second round, weren't being asked to play significant snaps immediately.
Holmes specifically referenced the addition of offensive tackle Joesph Notebloom in the 2018 Draft. The Rams already had starters in place at tackle, with Andrew Whitworth and Rob Havenstein, so Notebloom was able to develop at a deliberate pace, playing just 78 offensive snaps as a reserve in his first season.
There was something similar with Detroit's third-round choice in 2023, with defensive tackle Brodric Martin. Despite being available all season, he only saw action in three games.
That said, even if roster holes are less apparent heading into this draft, Holmes was quick to remind how quickly those perceptions can change. For example, Branch wasn't expected to be a starter to open last season, but he forced his way into the Week 1 slot-corner job with his practice performance. The Lions won't hesitate to do something similar if a 2024 draft pick proves to be the best option at his position through the offseason program.
"You don't know how that rookie is gonna really develop," Holmes said. "We try to do the best we can. I feel very confident in our process in forecasting that stuff, but, end of the day, man, it's just hard to bank on that stuff."
Outside of an injury, the most likely spots a rookie could push for early playing time would appear to be wide receiver, cornerback, edge rusher and kicker.
At receiver, the team wasn't able to retain Josh Reynolds in free agency. He played more than 800 offensive snaps last season, and while Jameson Williams, Donovan Peoples-Jones and Kalif Raymond will be the early contenders to backfill that lost playing time, a rookie, especially an early-round choice, could alter those plans.
At cornerback, the Lions have the makings of a quality camp battle brewing between Amik Robertson and Emmanuel Moseley, who both have starting experience that will be difficult to overlook. The same thing can be said at defensive end opposite Hutchinson, where a rookie would have to outperform free-agent addition and former first-round pick Marcus Davenport, as well as returning options such as John Cominksy, Josh Paschal and James Houston.
jdrogers@detroitnews.com
@Justin_Rogers
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