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Old October 30th, 2017, 07:12 AM   #1
Jeff Buchanan
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Thumbs up Minnesota @ Michigan, Saturday 11/4, 7:30p, FOX, Stream FoxGo

7:30p kick-offs in November suck. It's dark its frigging cold and you don't leave the stadium until after 9p. The CFB landscape has changed since the MSU win v. M shuttled this game to a 7:30 time slot.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 07:21 AM   #2
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Still no Fox affiliate for me on DirecTV, so I won't be able to watch this one.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 07:56 AM   #3
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Can't you rabbit ear it?
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Old October 30th, 2017, 08:04 AM   #4
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I looked on some AV web sites and for my location, they say no. I'm pretty far away from a broadcast antenna (45 miles or so).
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Old October 30th, 2017, 08:05 AM   #5
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It fucking figures though. I didn't watch anything on Fox more than about once or twice a year for fifteen years. Then Big Ten football shows up and now I can't watch it.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 08:06 AM   #6
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So, you missed the PSU-OSU game?

DTV finally settled up with our local CBS station a couple weeks ago. Or vice versa. Whatever, it's back. So, yay, I can watch UGA-South Carolina!
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Old October 30th, 2017, 08:07 AM   #7
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I caught the re-air on FS1. I was able to avoid news about the game but it took effort.

They'll probably re-air UM-Minny sometime Sunday afternoon.

Boy is it ever getting harder to justify paying those huge DirecTV bills. By far the #1 reason that I have it is to be able to watch live sports.

Last edited by Hannibal; October 30th, 2017 at 08:12 AM.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 08:18 AM   #8
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They are enrolling me in sports packages now. So, I get an email that says you've been enrolled! It's only $45/mo for 3 months! Then I have to call and cancel it because you can't do it on-line. It's either intentional (which I suspect) or someone has hacked my account, but to what end?

So, I'm actually going to talk with our Consumer Protection office today and think about ways to go after those fucks. I guarantee you that if it's systematic they are bilking thousands of people for unwanted sports packages.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 08:25 AM   #9
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I knew that it was only a matter of time once AT&T acquired DirecTV that DirecTV would eventually end up going down the toilet. They used to come through my neighborhood constantly asking me if I wanted to switch to UVerse and I was like "LOL Nope". They must have gotten tired of everyone saying the same thing. So now I basically don't have a choice. I am increasingly being reminded of the shitty service that made me drop cable 16 years ago. I thought that I was done with those assholes permanently.

Edit: The mgoblog podcast this morning has a really good rant with Ace and Brian, talking about all of the commercial breaks during the Michigan-Rutgers game. They were ridiculous, like an NFL game. The fans started heading for the exits in the 3rd quarter, supposedly. Strangling the golden goose.

Last edited by Hannibal; October 30th, 2017 at 09:11 AM.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 11:56 AM   #10
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Meatchicken 18 Row Your Boat 13
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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:03 PM   #11
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I did not know about this ........

Quinn Nordin missed a 37-yarder, which followed on from a missed XP last week. Allen Trieu is reporting that Nordin is injured and might miss some time coming up, which is Not Great. At least Michigan's backups here showed well in spring. 70 yarders are probably out of their reckoning.

Hope he's better before traveling to Madison.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:06 PM   #12
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We'll end up 8-4. Are any of our remaining games single digit spreads? They shouldn't be.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:11 PM   #13
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uh.....OSU will be double digits...
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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:16 PM   #14
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Minnesota's defense is solid. Not really sure what to expect out of this one from our offense. It might be terrible again, like it was against MSU. Or, it could be really good if anything that we saw in the Rutgers game carries over. In the former scenario, I think that we still win an unwatchable affair -- something like 16-13. In the latter scenario, I think that we win something like 34-10. It will be a short, low posession game (like the AF game). The one certainty is that Minnesota will not move the ball on us. I'll be shocked if they get anything more than our one cursory shitty defensive posession where we give up 7 points. Maybe they'll get a field goal or two on top of that. Their offense is terrible. Their running game is competent but they don't break big plays, and their passing sucks.

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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:29 PM   #15
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18-13. I already said it. Get with the program.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:31 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hannibal View Post
We'll end up 8-4. Are any of our remaining games single digit spreads? They shouldn't be.
I don't think fancy stats - and by this I mean S&P+ and FEI - are going to be changed at all by the Rutgers win and, I agree, they shouldn't.

Before Rutgers (and after the beat down at HV) these were the win percentages and spreads.

v. Minnesota: Spread is - 15.5, 84.1% chance of winning.

v. Maryland: Spread is - 14.5, 82.5% chance of winning.

v. Wisconsin: Spread is + 7.0, 68% chance of loosing.

v. osu: Spread is +9.3, 78% chance of loosing.

So, on paper/by the numbers the 8-4 prediction is still pretty solid.

While I do think the improved run game and Peters at QB - apparently, anyway and not at all statistically significant, more in the feelings ball category - probably makes us feel better about 9-3 or 10-2, the reality is that's a stretch.

I personally think our chances have improved v. Wisconsin and I'd say the possibility of a split between the last two games, taking M to 9-3 has increased. Given osu's remarkable performance v. PSU, I'd say our chances of beating osu have diminished. JMO. The wild card in Madison is Freshman QB Peters in his first road game in a difficult to play in and very loud environment.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 01:34 PM   #17
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Wisconsin can be beat...ya gotta rattle Horny...make it a slobberknocker...
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Old October 30th, 2017, 02:14 PM   #18
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Wisconsin can be beat...ya gotta rattle Horny...make it a slobberknocker...
What I'd really like is to light up their defense early and make them play from behind by a couple of scores. The problem with that approach is that even under the best of circumstances when JH takes a team on the road he starts conservatively - too conservatively for my tastes - and then sits on small leads - again, too small for my tastes.

Horny is going to be fleeing for his life and that I have no doubt about. The offenses that Don Brown has lived dangerously with are the ones where he should be playing zone but insists on playing press-man and counting on a terrifying DL push up front to cover the weaknesses he has to deal with at LB and S. If he doesn't get that, e.g., PSU, he's gonna get torched. There was more to that at PSU but still ......

Wisconsin is a perfect fit for Brown's D. Harbaugh will try to pound them with Peters in there (not a bad approach given that) but that's going to make the game a rock fight and you never like those in a hostile environment on the road.
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Old October 30th, 2017, 02:23 PM   #19
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Is Tarik Black supposed to be back this year? When he got injured I thought it was "6-8 weeks".
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Old October 30th, 2017, 02:53 PM   #20
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Is Tarik Black supposed to be back this year? When he got injured I thought it was "6-8 weeks".
No clarity on that question ......

After the injury I tried to put together some of the possibilities regarding the injury and how a particular type of foot injury might get fixed and how long the rehab would take.

Best case for a non-displaced, mid-shaft, 5th Metatarsal fracture would be about 8w.

An intra-articular fracture repair (Involves a fracture of the distal joints of any of the foot bones) is a more complex surgery and the surgeon is going to want more healing time before weight bearing - best guess 12w.

A fracture that involves any of the bones of the mid-foot is a big deal. If that's what happened, he won't be back this season.

JH has said nothing about his activity level/rehab. He should be back doing light work-outs, not involving pushing off with the affected foot if he's got the first kind of fracture above. Wisconsin would be a reasonable return.

Too hard to speculate about option two. Maybe someone will ask something other than a softball question on Black soon.
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